SYSTEMIC RISK CONSULTING LLC. ALPHAADDER

Worlds first successful application of Complexity Theory to A Market. 2005 Paper: "Stock Market Endogenous Dynamic, 'Noise' and Crash Precursors". Unpublished. Its purpose was to apply SOC/Complexity theory in real time and see if it was possible to identify Crash Precursors to Six Sigma Volatility Events in the S&P 500. Successfully identified Crash Precursors prior to 2008 and 2020 Crashes, . PLEASE READ FIRST ENTRY 8/22/2005 FOR CONTEXT. NOT ADVICE.

Markets don't crash when EVERYONE thinks they will. Neither Bounces, Drops Nor Crashes last forever.

A REVERSE AlphaAdder Perspective on Current Volatility Cluster, its ending and correlation with AA ending. A different tool for decay versus order.

Remember I said to reallocate on a bounce? Your chance to rebalance is coming up again.

Important FINAL COMM HERE AS A COURTESY: This Side of the Horizon NOW

Welcome to a Glimpse of Systemic Risk Consulting's AlphaAdder's Fifteen Year Applied Complexity Experiment.

March 4th 2020 Stating Criticality Call BEFORE 8+ Sigma Event

2019 View from 30,000 feet above. CHINA CHINA CHINA

Current Phase and Context S&P 500 from 30,000 feet above. Continuing the Wall of Worry, until,,,,,

The Hidden Hand of Contextual Temporal Value Systems, and Perceived Priorities

Return to current Endogenous Dynamic Slope.

Effects of China Cluster End Done. Despite Stretched Valuations we return to "Crawling wall of Worry"

China Dipped as predicted. Affected us as predicted. Change around 4/21

2018 View from 30,000 ft. Both China and USA

UPDATE: Moving up timetable. Inflection point is around 8/21

Stumble into September, dragging Uber Smart Bears along longer

One last time. Thank You to Dr. Robert Engle's Volatility Institute

Look what showed up in the Bradbury Museum in Los Alamos. I honor my late father A.J. Klapetzky

I TOLD YOU SO... i told you so. 12/1/08

1/7/08 System "Critical" and susceptible to six sigma event.

SECOND PHASE PEAKING. ITS A HEAD FAKE.

Even a unforeseen surprise , will not surprise.

Short Term Volatility within expected bounds

Stock Market endogenous dynamic.