Tuesday, April 10, 2018

China Dipped as predicted. Affected us as predicted. Change around 4/21

Right Again, which gives confirming info about future potential events.
Told you in 2007 what was going to happen in 2008.
Told you 2016 what was going to happen in 2017, and in 17 for 18. Jan for rest of year.
Added China in January 2018, and told you in advance how it would affect the US in Febuary through May.  (Halfway there)

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

2018 View from 30,000 ft. Both China and USA


China end of Vol Cluster. 2/10 Susceptible to exogenous event.  IF NO EXOGENOUS EVENT, THEN NO PHASE TRANSITION.

Close to our Inflection Point, not an ending point for us necessarily-a ways off.

Buy Vol shortly before 2/10 related to CHINA FXI (with greater than 30 day expiration to remove time decay risk.)

THE INFLECTION POINTS IN CHINA AND THE USA ARE DIFFERENT.  THE INFLECTION POINT IN CHINA IS AN END OF VOLATILITY CLUSTER.

We have an inflection point around 4/21, but it is not an end of cluster point.  It is a point, of a change of direction.  If China starts to pull us down starting around 2/10, we will have a persistency to go down also until around 4/21, at which time there will be a change of direction/persistency to flat, and or up.

If accurate than it gives confirmation of when we will have a Six Sigma Volatility event in the future.  I am keeping that to myself, for now.



Monday, June 26, 2017

UPDATE: Moving up timetable. Inflection point is around 8/21