Yesterday Dow down 140+. This morning futures down big. To be expected with current news. Market will absorb it and behave within expected volatility parameters; system is not critical and will not "crash" at this point.
I repeat, remember the ABC's that I mentioned earlier. A rigorous application of traditional deep value metrics is, and will be the way to go.
Clarification: Nobody will ever be able to say with certainty that a complex dynamic system will have a six sigma or larger event in a specific time period; the best one can do is understand if the system has reached a point of "self organized criticality" and is then susceptible to a large event. The latter in of itself is of great value as you can hedge, and in parallel the system has reached a point of diminishing returns and decisions regarding asset allocation can be made more effective.
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UPDATE 2026: CONTRARY TO WHAT I WROTE ABOVE-I went on to find, that IT IS INDEED POSSIBLE, to determine the time period where the system IS SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE RANDOM UNFORESEEN EXOGENOUS EVENT. RANDOM EVENTS HAPPEN CONSTANTLY. It is System Status that matters, which was the original purpose of AlphaAdder hypothesis, and this applied experiment.
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